Saturday, April 23, 2016

The resistible rise of Emmanuel Macron – The Point

Emmanuel Macron in the center of attention, it did not start today. For a long time he feels the “forced” to anyone. François Hollande, far left do, thinking that Macron allowed him to bite on the centrist electorate. But the head of state realizes, too late, that the appetite of his younger of Senghor promotion of ENA came eating. In fact, it all started with the first of the Summer University of La Rochelle, last year … From this date the origin of a slow deterioration of relations at the top of the state and the idea in the works!.

in the summer of 2015, it only been a year that Macron has settled in Bercy. But already pointing his ambitions. First, through his refusal to say socialist … He snubs summer schools PS in La Rochelle claiming they were not invited. The boss of the Socialists, Jean-Christophe Cambadélis, belies that assertion and said he discussed with Macron La Rochelle on 1 July. “If you want to come to La Rochelle, we see,” would have offered Cambadélis. Macron denies: “We did not invite me. But I’m available. “



Let us offer a Canada Dry Juppé and younger

In fact, the Minister of Economy had another agenda in mind: he preferred to appear few days earlier as the guest star of the “reformers Pole,” the club of the reformist Socialist Party in which he has his first supporters, as Pascal Terrasse. Manuel Valls has to reframe his remarks on working hours … First straps wound in a long series.

The incident is founder of La Rochelle. Because after the summer universities, Cambadélis went to Bercy to find common ground with the turbulent minister. The first secretary of the PS laying the groundwork for the candidacy of François Hollande in 2017. He needs to know where they stand with Macron. Secret counsels leads to a pact. “You can expand the majority, talking with people we, the Left, do not talk,” offers the head of the PS. The goal was to denigrate Juppe offering its formula “Canada Dry” but rejuvenated … “But it will take you to be helpful to the President in due time,” warns Cambadélis.

READ as Frankenstein-Macron will he escape his creator?

works!, The result of a deal with Cambadélis

The rest of the interview led to the idea of ​​forming a “club” that speaks to those who do not identify with the left. This is the germ of what would later become Power Up!. “Founds your thing. And then we will end up. Otherwise, we will fight and no gain, “concludes Cambadélis. Macron accept the deal. Especially since it is preparing a 2 Macron law, he believes this time, allow it to burn in some act of his ideas that tickle left. Informed Valls takes umbrage. Holland deals with it.

But things will spoil. The attacks of November reshaping priorities of Francois Hollande to safety. Manuel Valls took the opportunity to explode the 2 Macron law by diluting in El Khomri laws Tree 2 … An event will set fire to the powder: January 6, Le Monde publishes an interview of Emmanuel Macron entitled “We have not done everything to employment.” Problem: Valls has rewritten to water it down … Macron sees red! The two men come to insults and threatening text messages exchanges. “If you’re not happy, you clear,” would have written essentially the prime minister … The government reshuffle is already in the pipes. The sounds of a starting Macron pierce the walls of Bercy.



When Macron fears a Valls-Le Foll axis

It will do nothing but he coolly analyzes the situation. Following this lively altercation with the prime minister, he is now convinced that Manuel Valls wants her skin. He also feels the old guard of Holland, Stéphane Le Foll and Michel Sapin in mind, the watch, the knife between the teeth. For them, Macron is a false value, a whippersnapper of the policy, the child of a media bubble that it would be high time to deflate.

To not disappear facing an axis Valls- Le Foll, Macron has to create a balance of power favorable to him. But still, when arbitrage law El Khomri, Macron gets the opportunity to slip into the text capping prud’homales allowances. For his part, Manuel Valls replica introducing, in extremis, Article 30a on redundancies. Among them is the one who will show the most reformist. Valls said aloud: “I will go to the end. “That’s the niche left center as the two men vie for the opportunity to work this legislation. Medef doe …

Macron and slingers against Valls

The time of the redesign approach. The deprivation of nationality has significantly weakened Valls and Holland … The Dutch rumble against Valls who they blame this delusion of the left. They aspire to leaving Matignon. Some close to the president Macron evoke the hypothesis at a time when François Hollande seems to hesitate in February … For good measure, Macron himself “warp” through his criticism of the deprivation of nationality … So, the slingers – embittered by forfeiture – sending her flowers and say they prefer the Valls! This is the case of Jérôme Guedj example declares about him: “Macron said his truth, his convictions. He stands on a philosophical ground, which is interesting from a person whose thinking process. “Or Aurélie Aurélie Filippetti:” He joined the slingers, and that’s fine! “

The timely leak of El Khomri bill in the press up a trade union front of an unprecedented scale. Even the CFDT brandishing forks. François Hollande catastrophe partly defuses the anger that had also welded parliamentarians PS and the Rue de Solferino … Result: Valls, who wanted to “go through”, is forced to retreat. He lost the battle of “reformism” and Macron flies in the polls to become the second most popular political figure behind the French Alain Juppe.



PS Elephants are concerned about the “ségolénisation” Macron

His score is so high that it concerned besides the elephants of the PS. At a dinner Tuesday, around the head of state, when meet Le Foll, Bartolone, Le Drian, Cambadélis, Guillaume Leroux, some are concerned about the “ségolénisation” Emmanuel Macron. They feel that he “escapes the complementary system wide sweep.”

The lapse sequence, shuffle work law decides the head of state has accelerated its entry into the fray in 2017. He decided a program on France 2, a dialogue with citizens to try to rebound. One Saturday, he summoned to the Elysee those he considers the backbone of his campaign staff: Ségolène Royal, Daniel Vaillant, Julien Dray and Emmanuel Macron. Brice Dyer, Ipsos, has to present an opinion survey. If Macron is associated with this meeting, it is mainly for François Hollande a way to go in shackles to his ambitious Minister of Economy …

A tricky meeting at the Elysee

at the meeting, the head of State announced to the small coterie that Cambadélis “is poised to master the primary.” Julien Dray also delivers two crucial information: the launch of the Beautiful People’s Alliance by the PS has been advanced and the first signatories meet expectations: trade unionists, associations …

Emmanuel Macron understands that Elyos trap closes on him. He realizes that François Hollande will set the terms of its bid and that if it has to wait until the end of the year, it will be too late … He’s getting locked up. He must act quickly. He then hastily launching its movement Running! Amiens to program the … before the presidential program on France 2 and before the launch of “the beautiful people’s alliance”. At Amiens, Macron is positioned as “neither right nor left.” The media torpedoing works fire god

The return of the repressed

Fury Cambadélis who pounded in his turn: “Emmanuel Macron has a slightly odd idea: the triumph of the left in the right. “Everyone understands that Power Up! sets in motion the ambition of the Minister, and not necessarily that of François Hollande … So that Macron has to back on television: “I will not lie: this is not a personal adventure. “Holland, France 2, loose in turn a phrase to blush with pleasure a psychoanalyst:” He knows what he owes me. “The” neither right nor left “Macron offers a window of opportunity to Manuel Valls and the opportunity to focus on asserting the left … It’s quite refreshing.

But too late, the gun went off! Macron is carried away by the media surinterprètent each sentence. Polls (including Odoxa study for Le Parisien and BFM TV) are nonetheless mixed. If Macron Overtakes Lead personalities left, it offers no prospect of victory in a situation where he would face Alain Juppé, Marine Le Pen and others during a first round … However, it could eliminate Sarkozy .

the pitfall of 500 referrals

Still, François Hollande confirmed in bright red! Enough to feed the idea that it will not present, thus leaving the field open Emmanuel Macron. The Minister of Economy can then build on that Manuel Valls is stuck in Titanic. More to the left, it is hoped that Arnaud Montebourg and Martine Aubry are mired in the throes of PS

It remains an institutional obstacle to rise in a short time. 500 sponsorships needed for the nomination. If Macron must wait until December – withdrawal of François Hollande – to solicit, it will be just. Too fair. Especially as new sponsorships publishing rules make it supports most difficult elected to the right for a candidate who would overshadow their own champion derived from primary November … For field elected, the reality of parties of right and left is tangible: it is that of investitures elections. And here, politics grub resumes its rights … So Macron, a French fantasy?

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